It now seems unlikely (to me) that Tommy Robinson will win an MEP seat I WANT Tommy to win... of course... but I don't think he will. I think Tommy MEP would be a historic British political/social event. As Tommy says, the START of something really big and significant. Without a win for Tommy I envision a very bleak future for the UK in the medium term at least. The Tories will cobble together some sort of "Brexit in name only" (BINO)... a complete cop-out of Democracy... and otherwise it will be Tory/Labour "business as usual". Neither UKIP, nor Farage UK (FUK) will have much (if any) impact, after the BINO deal.
Sad, but true. Tommy MEP was the only thing that MIGHT have triggered some sort of "revolution".. at least in the minds of the establishment/Media. Also, UKIP will not gain any MEP seats... and I doubt they will gain any traction in the next UK general election. They will not win any MPs in Westminster Parliament. They will likely gradually vanish altogether.
The Farage UK Party (FUK) will likely win 30+ MEP seats and LibDems will gain a few as well.... so what?
That sort of result is already "baked in the cake". The only "Message" that would in anyway "shock" the establishment is an MEP win for Tommy. The media will argue about whether the EU results indicate Leave or Remain is favored, and really there will be no CLEAR indication (pseudo second referendum on Brexit). Farage has had YEARS as an MEP and that alone does NOT facilitate UK leaving EU.. and it wont this time. Maybe a few one minute witty sound bites from Nigel in the European Parliament ... which are soon forgotten.. much like "zinger tweets"... they are transitory and achieve NOTHING. I can not see Farage (FUK) being a serious force in Westminster politics. There is a LOT more involved in producing a coherent Manifesto, policies, branch offices and staff etc....attracting MEMBERS and serious MP candidates (as opposed to people running for short term "joke" MEP seats, and donors REGISTERING to "Put Nigel back on the Brussels gravy train" GoFundMe for Nigel)
As far as the underlying matter of LEAVING the EU....Sadly, some sort of Brexit "deal" will be agreed to by Westminster Parliament... maybe with Boris as PM.. before October? or maybe after yet another "Extension"? It will be a "compromise"... "soft Brexit"... actually a "Brexit in Name Only" (BINO)...
What a complete waste of 3+ years!!!

I don't see Tommy Robinson getting the "spark" he was hoping for to set a "revolution" in motion. There is too much APATHY in the general population... FROGS doing nothing as the water temperature rises. Maybe Tommy should turn his back on "politics"... get back to his "Day Job"... JOURNALISM... investigative journalism and real exposure of issues and those who are complicit.
While I am in "Prediction mode"...I really don't KNOW... I am just guessing... but I think Tommy will be found GUILTY at his Trial 4th and 5th July.
IF the powers-that-be have even a scrap of decency, the sentence will be "Time served" ... He will be found guilty but released from Court.
I think the State are conscious of being sued for things like "false arrest", "false imprisonment" with an element of "torture"/ inhumane treatment etc. so they will want to find Tommy guilty of SOMETHING... anything really, so that they can say that was what Tommy served prison time for. If Tommy is acquitted at his upcoming trial... then I would think he has an iron-clad claim for massive compensation... millions!!