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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Mon Apr 25, 2016 5:32 pm 
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Next Trump Events

https://www.donaldjtrump.com/schedule/

Monday, April 25, 2016, 1:00 PM
Warwick, RI. Crowne Plaza Hotel
Livestream
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aqd8Vp7mATM


Monday, April 25, 2016, 4:00 PM
West Chester, PA. West Chester University
Livestream
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v2PicL4wPCM


Monday, April 25, 2016, 7:00 PM
Wilkes-Barre, PA. Mohegan Sun Arena at Casey Plaza
Livestream
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4oQ8wof3MA4

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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Mon Apr 25, 2016 11:13 pm 
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Pennsylvania - TRUMP VOTER DELEGATE CARD
(Take card with you when voting)

UPDATED 26th April
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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2016 12:52 am 
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Today is THE day.... Another Trump Tuesday :)

I've just received a Red Trump Cap.... and I'm not afraid to wear it!! :stamp

:51

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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2016 4:47 am 
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Next Battles

New York Times - 2016 Primary Results and Calendar
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016 ... .html?_r=0


Tuesday April 26th
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The greenpapers
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/R

Election Projection
http://www.electionprojection.com/repub ... delegates/

projects.fivethirtyeight.com
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/ele ... e-targets/

Realclearpolitics - delegate count
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... count.html

Bloomberg Delegate count
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/graph ... e-tracker/

Decision Desk HQ
http://www.decisiondeskhq.com/

NY Times election results
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results


_______________________________________
TRUMP WIN COUNT-DOWN
391 Delegates required

_______________________________________

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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2016 4:48 am 
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Rats and Mice 86
Carson 9
Low Energy Jeb 4
Paul 1
Huckabee 1
Lyin’ Carly 1
Uncommitted 70

Even with all Lyin’ Ted’s cheating and bribing, at least SOME of the “uncommitted” delegates have pledged to Trump. A bunch of PA delegates may end up included in this category. That means the “hard total” for Trump does not actually need to show as 1237, but I think it will.

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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2016 6:28 pm 
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H/T TexasRanger

Polls - Close Times


Connecticut: Polls close 8 pm EST
Republican delegates at stake: 28 (15 awarded by congressional district and 13 awarded statewide)
The polls predict: Trump will win. Trump has a huge lead over his nearest rival, John Kasich, and could get the majority of Republican votes cast in Connecticut, according to RealClearPolitics.

Delaware: Polls close 8 pm EST
Republican delegates at stake: 16 (winner take all)
The polls predict: Trump will win. RealClearPolitics’ archive — a Gravis poll.

Maryland: Polls close 8 pm EST
Republican delegates at stake: 38 (24 by congressional district and 14 statewide)
The polls predict: Trump will win. Trump is leading Kasich by 21 points.

Pennsylvania: Polls close 8 pm EST
Republican delegates at stake: 71 (Only 17 are allocated to the primary’s winner, and they’re winner take all. The remaining 54 delegates aren’t bound to vote for any candidate.)
The polls predict: Trump will win. RealClearPolitics’ polling average.

Rhode Island: Polls close 8 pm EST
Republican delegates at stake: 19 (awarded proportionally)
The polls predict: Trump will win. RealClearPolitics’ polling average.

2016 Presidential Poll Data:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... president/

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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:57 pm 
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As polls close.. Fox CALLS MD CT and PA for TRUMP!!

RI now called for Trump (61%)

DE called for Trump

USA 5 V Canada 0


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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2016 8:59 pm 
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Next Trump Events

https://www.donaldjtrump.com/schedule/

VICTORY SPEECH - Tuesday, April 26, 2016, 9:00 PM
New York, NY. Trump Tower
Livestream
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ov2F4Z0G0BU

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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Tue Apr 26, 2016 9:16 pm 
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Has Lyin' Ted done the right thing and QUIT yet?


______________________________________________
LYIN’ TED SHAME COUNT
173 Delegates beyond possible win

______________________________________________
Image


________________________________________________
CRAZY JOHN DELUSION TALLY
581 Delegates beyond possible win

________________________________________________
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___________________________________
TRUMP WIN COUNT-DOWN
281 Delegates required

___________________________________
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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2016 12:19 am 
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REAL Delegate count - After April 26

SOURCE: The Green Papers - Hard Totals
http://goo.gl/7FiwMA


It seems that 45 (of 54) PA delegates accounted for as "uncommitted" are pledged to Trump.
I will redo numbers to reflect that.

Trump 956 1001
Lyin' Ted 547
Lil' Marco 173
Crazy John 154
Rats and Mice 140 95
    Carson 9
    Low Energy Jeb 4
    Paul 1
    Huckabee 1
    Lyin' Carly 1
    Uncommitted 124 79
Available 502
    Required for Trump win 281 236 (1237 - 956) (40.5% of remaining )
    Excess available to all 221 266 (502-281)

Trump reaches a Majority at (281-221)+1 = 61

Total 2,472

Green Papers have updated numbers following Wyoming and they AGREE
EXCEPT:
They have not yet moved 3 "available" delegates to "uncommitted" for CO and WY

Popular Vote
Trump 10,081,340 39.61%
Lyin' Ted 6,903,829 27.12%
Lil' Marco 3,490,557 13.71%
Crazy John 3,660,095 14.38%

Trump leads Lyin' Ted by 3,177,511 votes.... and rising.

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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2016 1:31 am 
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DELEGATE position after April 26

Image

NOTES:
  • Trump on track to attain a majority 50% (1237)
  • Trump total does not include "uncommitted" pledged to Trump (maybe 45 delegates)
  • Lyin' Ted STILL FAILS to reach even 25% (619)
  • Trump requires 61 (net) more delegates to reach a running majority
  • Crazy John is just a waste of space 4th (John Who?)




Most of the 54 "uncommitted" from PA have pledged a preference

The MILESTONE….. Trump securing a “running majority” is actually already achieved if one does include, say 45 extra pledged delegates from the PA 54
45 taken from the “GOPe Twilight Zone” side and added to the “Trump Country” side is a NET gain on Trump side of 90 delegates. So Trump is ALREADY 29 delegates more than 50% of all delegates assigned so far.
He has what Karl Rove claims he does not have… already. Karl Rove should now shut up.

Image

ALL delegates assigned so far(including 45 of 54 from PA)
Rats and Mice 95
    Carson 9
    Low Energy Jeb 4
    Paul 1
    Huckabee 1
    Lyin’ Carly 1
    Uncommitted 79
Lyin' Ted 547
Lil' Marco 173
Crazy John 154

Total Not Trump = 960

Trump = 1001

Really at this stage… it does NOT MATTER what the precise number is for Lyin’ Ted.
There are numbers shown as “Uncommitted” a few of which no doubt will support Lyin’ Ted on 1st ballot, but Ted is STILL a loser.. well below 25% of delegates let alone a contender for 50%
IF you consider my pie graph…
The numbers accounted for on the “GOPe Twilight Zone” side of the pie can ALL be considered as “Not Trump” and in competition with “Trump”. It makes no difference to the total on that side if delegates are included for Lyin’ Ted, or “Rats and Mice”. It DOES matter on the Trump side how many “Rats and Mice” cross over to Trump side. I have assumed 45 of the 54 PA “uncommitted” added to Trump.

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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2016 1:18 pm 
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Lyin' Ted to announce Lyin' Carly as running mate... Good fit

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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2016 2:49 pm 
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Next Trump Events

https://www.donaldjtrump.com/schedule/


Wednesday, April 27, 2016, 12:00 PM
Donald Trump Speaks at The National Press Club
Washington, DC beginning at 12:00 PM EDT.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XW8RqLN3Qao


Wednesday, April 27, 2016, 6:00 PM
Indianapolis, IN. Indiana Farmers Coliseum
Livestream
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WVlmTJjDgU4

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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Wed Apr 27, 2016 3:44 pm 
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Lyin' Ted and Basketball LOL

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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Thu Apr 28, 2016 4:10 am 
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I am completely fed up with Lyin’ Ted (and Crazy John)….. they are soooooo…. last month!!

I can’t really be bothered to post about them, post jokes and photoshops etc.

I liken Lyin’ Ted to Dog crap on one’s shoe. I scraped him off a while back…. and he is gone… just the smell lingers. I guess all one can do is keep walking and hope the smell wears off soon.

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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Thu Apr 28, 2016 3:12 pm 
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John Boehner says Ted Cruz is “Lucifer in the flesh” and a “miserable son of a bitch”

:slap

DANG!!!
No wonder ” the evangelists” don’t like the SOB!!

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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Thu Apr 28, 2016 3:31 pm 
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Update from Sam Wang (Princeton)

Indiana may not matter any more
April 28th, 2016, 9:00am by Sam Wang

http://election.princeton.edu/2016/04/2 ... -any-more/

Quote:
Media types want you to get your knickers in a twist about Indiana. However, the data suggests that it doesn’t matter any more. Rationally speaking, it is probably time to stop writing so much about the Republican race for delegates. Also, a moratorium on “brokered-convention” articles?


As of today, for recently-unpolled states (NE,WV,OR,WA,MT,NM,SD) I will start using Google Correlate-based estimates. Of those states, Trump is favored in West Virginia (34 delegates) and is near-tied in Oregon and Washington (proportional representation). The rest are Cruz states.

Put through the PEC delegate simulator, the median delegate count is 1333 (interquartile range 1304-1339).

The probability of getting to 1237 delegates is 98%:
Image

What if we assume that Trump will lose Indiana? In that case the median drops to 1284 delegates (interquartile range 1278-1287).

The probability of getting to 1237 is now 97%:
Image

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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Thu Apr 28, 2016 3:51 pm 
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Lyin' Ted is just being an asshole... he needs to quit!!

Sam Wang’s REAL mathematical analysis has been a comfort and confirmation for some time. I have been looking at the math as an “amateur” with some knowledge of math and statistics, and frankly I have been sure all along that Trump was on track to make 1237….easily. All the MSM analysis is nonsense.. deliberately misleading IMO .. notably via Karl Rove.. who I am sure KNOWS better and is lying.

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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Thu Apr 28, 2016 3:58 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Trump Stuff
PostPosted: Thu Apr 28, 2016 5:22 pm 
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Cruz denies Kasich alliance; Kasich camp “I can’t stand liars”

The marriage is over, seriously!

Earlier this week both campaigns put out news releases and statements they were working on stopping Donald Trump from winning the needed 1,237 to clinch the GOP nomination.

Now both camps are at odds because their alliance is not working. Now both are looking desperate and weak. The entire situation looks like they are trying to take advantage of the people of Indiana.

It’s clear, both of these candidates do not have a path to the 1,237 and they are failing to create a sustainable message for Americans to rally behind. The press went after Kasich on Monday morning who said “I never told people not to vote for me in Indiana,” and now Cruz, three days later says there was never a deal in place. Kasich’s people didn’t like that at all.

Who do you think is telling the truth or are both lying?

...more at link
http://newsninja2012.com/cruz-denies-ka ... and-liars/

Also today
Creepy Carly called for Crazy John to drop out!!
:lol

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